Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000938 0.001077 0.001219 0.001372 0.001533 0.001697 0.001876
2025-06-29 0.000731 0.000930 0.001139 0.001373 0.001626 0.001889 0.002182
2025-07-06 0.000633 0.000882 0.001153 0.001464 0.001807 0.002170 0.002578
2025-07-13 0.000480 0.000755 0.001067 0.001436 0.001851 0.002298 0.002808
2025-07-20 0.000339 0.000623 0.000963 0.001378 0.001855 0.002376 0.002979
2025-07-27 0.000271 0.000572 0.000946 0.001414 0.001961 0.002565 0.003268
2025-08-03 0.000194 0.000495 0.000891 0.001400 0.002005 0.002680 0.003474
2025-08-10 0.000109 0.000389 0.000789 0.001321 0.001968 0.002700 0.003569
2025-08-17 0.000060 0.000322 0.000729 0.001289 0.001982 0.002776 0.003724
2025-08-24 0.000017 0.000238 0.000635 0.001208 0.001934 0.002774 0.003789
2025-08-31 0.000002 0.000195 0.000596 0.001193 0.001961 0.002860 0.003950
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000174 0.000586 0.001216 0.002035 0.002998 0.004171
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000120 0.000525 0.001183 0.002058 0.003101 0.004382
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000087 0.000494 0.001190 0.002133 0.003268 0.004669
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000083 0.000520 0.001279 0.002315 0.003565 0.005111
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000049 0.000470 0.001255 0.002349 0.003684 0.005346
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000018 0.000405 0.001201 0.002343 0.003752 0.005519
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000010 0.000398 0.001237 0.002453 0.003961 0.005859
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000001 0.000363 0.001224 0.002496 0.004088 0.006100
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001150 0.002453 0.004106 0.006208
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000258 0.001120 0.002468 0.004193 0.006399
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000200 0.001045 0.002415 0.004192 0.006483
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000176 0.001030 0.002447 0.004298 0.006693